"' Country Member "'was the winner of the 1993 Agfa Diamond Chase before coming into the reckoning for the National as an 11 / 1 chance after winning the Horse & Hound Grand Military Cup at Sandown a month before the big race.
12.
His calculation is based on GDP growth in the second quarter of the election year and on a Gallup " trial-heat " poll between the candidates in September ( unlike approval ratings for the incumbent-party candidate, the trial-heat score brings the performance of the opponent specifically into the reckoning ).