In 1998, the Center began issuing the National Fire Weather Outlook to provide forecasts for areas potentially susceptible to the development and spread of wildfires based on certain meteorological factors.
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Fire weather products have been issued by the Storm Prediction Center since 1998, however there is little online documentation for days before 2002 due to the lack of SPC archives.
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For example, a Fire Weather Forecast, which have a forecast period covering up to seven days, is issued by local Weather Forecast Offices ( WFOs ) daily, with updates as needed.
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From statistical analysis of historical fire weather data, agencies were able to determine various percentiles in the distribution of historical ERC data that serve as breakpoints for various fire management decisions.
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The weather criteria for fire weather watches and red flag warnings vary with each Weather Service Office s warning area based on the local vegetation type, topography, and distance from major water sources.
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Once per day, NWS meteorologists issue a coded fire weather forecast for specific United States Forest Service observation sites that are then input into the National Fire Danger Rating System ( NFDRS ).
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"The fire weather conditions tomorrow are not good at all, but almost all of the ACT ( Australian Capital Territory ) has been burnt out anyway, " said emergency services spokesman, Tony Graham.
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Different indices, like the " Forest fire weather index " and the " Haines Index ", have been developed to predict the areas more at risk to experience fire from natural or human causes.
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An inversion is like a glass shield that keeps winds in the upper layer from descending to the surface, " said Maggie Querciagrossa, a fire weather expert at the National Weather Service office in Seattle.
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The National Weather Service in Pueblo, Colorado issued notices for severe fire weather starting at 2 : 00 p . m . on June 12, with low humidity, high winds, and temperatures approaching expected to drive the fire.